CODFISH WATERS

Gasolina está barata

Posted in Uncategorized by Francisco Camarate de Campos on 26 Maio, 2008

Eu sei que a gasolina é muito mais cara em Portugal do que nos EUA, mas é interessante ler a visão contrarian de Robert Bryce na Slate sobre o preço actual do petróleo:

By almost any measure, gasoline is still cheap. In fact, it has probably been far too cheap for far too long. The recent price increases are only beginning to reflect its real value.

When measured on an inflation-adjusted basis, the current price of gasoline is only slightly higher than it was in 1922.

Gasoline is also a fairly minor expense when you consider the overall cost of car ownership. In 1975, gasoline made up 33.4 percent of the total cost of owning and operating a car. By 2006, according to the Bureau of Transportation Statistics, gasoline costs had declined to just 17.1 percent of the total cost of car ownership.

No entanto, é curioso que o ano de comparação desde último dado seja 1975, e que já tenha sido argumentado – sem conclusões muito fidedignas – que os preços relativos das commodities têm naturalmente uma tendência decrescente…